Packers vs. Vikings: Top NFL Prop Bets & Anytime TD Picks for Week 1

Sunday’s Week 1 clash between the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings carries more than just bragging rights for the NFC North – it’s a betting playground. After swapping quarterbacks, the Vikings rolled in Kyler Murray, while the Packers finally got MarShawn Lloyd healthy enough to start. Toss in Tucker Kraft’s red‑zone allure, and you’ve got a trio of prop bets worth a second glance.

MarShawn Lloyd – 43+ rushing yards (‑113)

Lloyd’s story reads like a series of unlucky injuries: a busted rookie season after just six carries, another season‑ender in 2025 training camp, and now, finally, a clean bill of health heading into his first real start. The Packers have handed him the lead‑back role, and the Vikings’ rush defense, which hovered around 20th in opponent‑rush success late last season, could be vulnerable. I’m leaning on Lloyd to crack 43 yards – not a huge number, but enough to make the bet feel like a safe‑bet on a freshly minted workhorse.

Kyler Murray – Over 23.5 rushing yards (‑107)

Don’t let the Vikings’ “new‑quarterback” label fool you – Murray’s legs are still a big part of his game. He’s averaged roughly 35 rushing yards per start over his career, and in five starts last year he logged 34.6 on the ground. Week 1 is all about easing into a fresh playbook, so expect him to test the water more than usual. The 23.5‑yard line feels modest, and I suspect Murray will find a few open lanes early on, pushing him well over that mark.

Tucker Kraft – Anytime touchdown (+225)

Kraft’s been a bright spot for Green Bay this season, hauling in 32 catches for 489 yards and six scores before his ACL tore in Week 9 of the previous year. If he’s fully recovered, his size and red‑zone instincts make him a prime candidate to slip into the end zone against a Vikings defense that can be a bit porous near the goal line. The +225 odds reflect that risk, but the upside is solid – especially if the Packers lean on him in short‑yardage situations.

Those are the three props I’d keep an eye on as the Packers and Vikings kick off the season. Odds shift, injuries happen, and the weather can be a wild card, but the underlying logic behind each bet feels sound. Good luck, and may your wagers be as tight as a Packers’ offensive line on a third‑and‑goal.