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Vodacom Aims Higher in Africa, Cuts Dividend Payout to Fund Growth

Vodacom trims dividend, lifts 2030 revenue target after Safaricom deal

Vodacom reduces its minimum payout to 65% and hikes its 2030 revenue goal to R300 bn, banking on Safaricom and fast‑growing East‑North African markets.

Vodacom Group Ltd., the South‑African telco that rides on Vodafone’s back, has just shaken up its dividend policy. The board announced on Monday that the carrier will now pay out at least 65% of headline earnings – down from the 75% it pledged a few years ago. The move is meant to free up cash for reinvestment in the parts of the business that are growing the quickest, especially in East and North Africa.

“At this revised payout level, we expect to grow the dividend per share for fiscal 2027, based on our current growth trajectory and the prevailing economic conditions,” the statement read. In plain English, the company is saying it will still hand shareholders a decent slice of profit, but it will keep more money in the tank to chase higher‑growth opportunities.

The timing isn’t accidental. Last year Vodacom secured a controlling stake in Safaricom Plc – the biggest mobile operator in Kenya – and that deal opened the door to a much broader, more balanced portfolio across the continent. “We are entering a new phase of growth, supported by a more balanced portfolio, broader earnings drivers and increased exposure to some of Africa’s most attractive opportunities,” the group explained.

That optimism is reflected in the numbers the company just released. For the first quarter ending 30 June, Vodacom’s revenue rose 6% to R42.4 billion, roughly matching Bloomberg’s median analyst forecast. But the real headline is the revamp of its medium‑term targets: EBITDA and operating free‑cash‑flow are now projected to grow at “early‑teens” rates, a step up from the double‑digit growth the firm previously aimed for.

Perhaps the most eye‑catching change is the 2030 revenue ambition. Vodacom has lifted its goal from R200 billion (about $12 billion) to a whopping R300 billion – roughly $18 billion at current exchange rates. It’s a bold bet that the carrier’s expanded footprint, especially in fast‑growing markets like Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda and the Sahel region, will pay off.

Investors will be watching closely to see how the lower payout ratio translates into capital projects – new 5G roll‑outs, fiber expansions, and digital services – and whether those investments can deliver the promised cash‑flow lift. For now, Vodacom seems comfortable that its gamble on Africa will reward shareholders in the long run, even if the short‑term dividend looks a little slimmer.

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