Three 5G Networking And Cybersecurity Predictions: A Retrospective

Last year, I offered three predictions regarding trends in 5G and security. Now, one year later, I find it worth looking back to evaluate where those predictions landed and offering new insights for 2024.

In the technology sector, precision in forecasting isn't always necessary for survival, unlike meteorology. Despite this, it's essential to revisit past predictions and evaluate their relevance today.

Prediction #1 stated that fixed wireless access (FWA) would gain significant traction, and IoT security would experience vertical growth. This prediction was spot-on as nearly one million FWA subscribers joined in over the past five quarters as reported by Fierce Wireless. FWA subscriber numbers continue to grow in the U.S., with T-Mobile nearing 5 million and Verizon edging closer to 3 million. AT&T has also joined in with its Internet Air service. Beyond the U.S., many mobile network operators are planning to deploy 5G FWA services, particularly in India with Reliance Jio marketing its JioAirFiber offering.

Furthermore, various enterprises are adopting IoT security tailored to operational technology environments, including companies such as Palo Alto Networks, Cisco, Entrust, Forescout, Fortinet, AWS, Azure and Google.

The second prediction was concerning mobile network slicing and the threat posed to the hybrid workforce by malicious actors. However, many operators were still focused on upgrading radio access network infrastructure and deploying mid-band spectrum, causing mobile network slicing to fall short. On a positive note, hybrid workforce attacks were accurately predicted.

The third expectation encompassed the consolidation of the Open RAN market and the continuation of the zero trust industry trend. While there wasn't much activity in consolidation, AT&T's partnership with Ericsson marked a significant moment for Open RAN.

Looking forward, 2024 is anticipated to be a big year for 5G network maturity and security milestones. We expect advances in 5G FWA, network slicing, and broader Open RAN adoption.

From a security perspective, the growth of private cellular networks will bolster IoT security. The Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) is well-equipped to address threats to the hybrid workforce, and Zero Trust Network Access solutions will continue to evolve, catering to businesses of all sizes.

Moor Insights provide various services to several tech companies, including analysis, consulting, and research. These services have been enjoyed by many companies involved in this discussion such as AT&T, AWS, Cisco Systems, and Dell Technologies, among others.