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The Impossible Dream: Can SMU Really Crash the College Football Playoff Party?

  • Nishadil
  • November 25, 2025
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  • 3 minutes read
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The Impossible Dream: Can SMU Really Crash the College Football Playoff Party?

Alright, let's talk about something truly fascinating happening in college football right now. We've got the SMU Mustangs, sitting pretty at a very respectable 9-1, and here's the kicker: they're ranked No. 11 in the latest College Football Playoff standings. I mean, come on, a Group of Five team in the top dozen? That's got to make you pause and think, doesn't it? It’s a remarkable achievement for them, regardless of what happens next.

Now, let's be totally honest with ourselves. The idea of a Group of Five squad actually making it into the four-team College Football Playoff has always felt like a fantastical tale, almost like a sports fiction novel. We've seen Cinderella stories in bowls, sure, but the CFP? That's a different beast entirely. It's historically been a closed shop, reserved for the powerhouses of the Power Five conferences. Yet, here SMU is, hovering just outside the top 10, daring us to consider the 'what if.'

So, what would it actually take for the Mustangs to defy all conventional wisdom and sneak into that exclusive quartet? Well, it's going to require a cosmic alignment of events, a true cascade of chaos across the college football landscape. First and foremost, SMU absolutely must win out. That means taking care of business against UAB, then a crucial matchup with Tulane, and ultimately, winning the AAC Championship game. Any slip-up, and this conversation is immediately over.

But even a perfect 12-1 record, with an AAC title under their belt, likely wouldn't be enough on its own. They'd need a serious bloodbath among the top-ranked Power Five teams. Think about it: multiple upsets in the SEC Championship, the Big Ten title game, the Big 12, ACC, and Pac-12. We're talking about a scenario where several one-loss or undefeated teams fall, leaving behind a messy pool of two-loss Power Five champions, or even a scenario where some conferences produce a champion with a less-than-stellar record.

The committee, bless their hearts, traditionally prioritizes 'strength of schedule' and 'quality wins.' And let's be realistic, SMU, while impressive, simply hasn't had the opportunity to stack up those marquee victories against top-tier opponents that the Power Five contenders regularly face. Their best wins, as good as they are, don't quite carry the same weight as beating, say, an Alabama or an Ohio State.

So, while the chances are incredibly slim, perhaps even bordering on 'miraculous,' it's not entirely outside the realm of possibility in the wildest theoretical sense. If enough chaos erupts, if enough of the current top-tier teams stumble badly, and if SMU manages to be the only remaining one-loss G5 champion standing tall, then just maybe, maybe, the committee might have to seriously consider them. It would certainly make for an unprecedented and unforgettable playoff field!

Ultimately, this isn't just about SMU's playoff hopes; it's about the excitement and drama that college football consistently delivers. The Mustangs are having a phenomenal season, one they and their fans should be incredibly proud of. Whether they make the CFP or not, their journey to No. 11 has certainly added a thrilling, 'what if' narrative to an already captivating year.

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