Super Bowl MVP odds: Is Travis Kelce worth betting on as a massive long shot?

Super Bowl MVP odds are in and the betting can commence. Favored to win the award is not the quarterback of the Super Bowl favorite 49ers, but it’s expected regular season MVP Lamar Jackson with +390 odds on FanDuel . That’s a small discount on the Ravens’ outright Super Bowl price of +350. Behind Jackson, we have a pair of quarterbacks on star studded teams in the 49ers’ Brock Purdy (+500) and Bills’ Josh Allen (+800).

Allen and the Bills have shot up the ranks in the minds of “Bills Mafia” and bettors alike, as Buffalo has moved from 40/1 in Week 14 to now +650 to win the Super Bowl. There’s also no love for typical favorite Patrick Mahomes, who sits at 10/1 to again be the Super Bowl MVP, which is not a discount on the Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds.

The Chiefs can be had at 10/1 to win the Super Bowl on DraftKings . Kansas City is set for a home matchup with the Miami Dolphins on Saturday in a battle of struggling teams, and the Chiefs are 3.5 point favorites. Looking at the Super Bowl MVP board, you see a few interesting options, starting with Travis Kelce and his 140/1 odds.

Kelce opened at 28/1 on BetMGM last season to win Super Bowl MVP. Of course, this season the Chiefs have been in the middle of multiple nightmare scenarios involving drops with their receivers. If the Chiefs repeat as Super Bowl champions, it will have to be on the back of their defense and the Mahomes Kelce combination.

This is where we look at historical data, and see that Julian Edelman won Super Bowl MVP in 2019 with a 10 catch 141 yard showing in the Patriots’ 13 3 win over the Rams. Mahomes would need to have an uneven performance, which is, in fairness, hard to see, but hit Kelce early and often with targets.

However, that’s not that far off from what this season has looked like overall for the Chiefs. This team has played poorly throughout 2023, but Kelce is relied on more than ever with some value on Kelce at those prices. Another would be reigning Defensive Player of the Year Nick Bosa at 85/1. One of the premier pass rushers in the NFL, Bosa is a few sacks and maybe a strip away from being an MVP candidate.

We already know that many voters don’t have much love for Purdy. Bosa opened at 100/1 before dropping down to 50/1 during the week in 202 — although the Niners were +450 to win the Super Bowl at this time last season (third best odds). San Francisco has +220 odds and is the clear favorite before the first set of games..