NFL Week 18 same game parlays
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- January 07, 2024
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• New Orleans Saints WR Rashid Shaheed to dominate vs. the pass funnel Atlanta Falcons ? The Saints have a matchup against a Falcons defense that is far easier to throw against than run against, as Atlanta is No. 1 in expected points added (EPA) allowed per rush but only middle of the pack in EPA allowed per dropback.
• QB Justin Fields to lean on WR D.J. Moore in a Chicago Bears win? Moore has one of the best roles in the league on an offense not priced for its current mode of attack. Look for him to exploit a terrific matchup and finish his strong season with a huge last game. $150 in bonus bets : New FanDuel customers who bet $5 or more receive $150 in bonus bets if their team wins.
Join FanDuel today! Estimated Reading Time: 2 minutes • We are going back to the well with Rashid Shaheed , who has been terrific in virtually every facet of the game this season. • Shaheed ranks at the very top of the league in separation grade, catch point grade and after the catch grade. He is also top 10 in separation grade on deep passes.
• However, he served as just a part time player for most of the season, which is why he hasn't been able to convert those elite fundamentals into elite numbers. But over the last few weeks, he has been the clear second receiver to Chris Olave and has run a route on almost 80% of his team's passing plays.
• The Saints have a matchup against a Falcons defense that is far easier to throw against than run against, as Atlanta is No. 1 in expected points added (EPA) allowed per rush but only middle of the pack in EPA allowed per dropback. • Shaheed has a terrific matchup in the slot against fill in Mike Hughes , who has been a bottom 20% corner in terms of his ability to prevent separation.
• Darius Slayton has been the beneficiary of multiple Tyrod Taylor bombs in recent weeks, but Jalin Hyatt has a similar role and leads the NFL in average target depth. Hyatt has also performed well above average at the catch point and after the catch, so he has multiple ways to beat teams for an explosive play.
• Hyatt will go up against an Eagles secondary that has allowed separation at the fourth highest rate in the NFL while being in the bottom quartile in explosive plays allowed and average target depth. • Despite not popping off for a big game in recent weeks, Hyatt's role remains secure. He is a threat to pop and hit on a huge play en route to a big day.
• Since Fields' return from injury, Moore has seen a whopping 34% of the target share as the unquestioned WR1 in Chicago. And over the last six weeks, only the Lions have allowed more yards to wide receivers than the Packers. • While the Bears began the season as a run heavy offense — the primary sample built into the Fields props — the team has been passing far more in recent weeks, giving the Bears quarterback more volume to exploit this vulnerable Packers defense.
• Moore has one of the best roles in the league on an offense not priced for its current mode of attack. Look for him to exploit a terrific matchup and finish his strong season with a huge last game..